The rate that sets the tone.
The Bank of Canada is the country’s central bank. One of its main responsibilities is keeping prices stable. Its policy rate helps influence borrowing costs, spending and inflation.
The policy rate shown here is the target for the overnight rate: a reference for very short-term lending between financial institutions. It is not the mortgage rate offered to a borrower. Lenders set their own rates based on funding costs and the details of the loan.
The Bank normally schedules eight rate announcements each year. It can raise, lower or hold its rate at each one. An announcement does not necessarily mean a rate change.
Five years, decision by decision.
Coverage: October 26, 2021 to October 26, 2026. The 40 announcements include 10 increases, 9 cuts and 21 holds. Upcoming announcements are listed separately.
40 decisions shown · newest first
| Announcement | Target rate | Decision | Change | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.25% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.50% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.75% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.75% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.75% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.75% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 3.00% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 3.25% | ↓ Decrease | -50 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 3.75% | ↓ Decrease | -50 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.25% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.50% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.75% | ↓ Decrease | -25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 5.00% | ↑ Increase | +25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.75% | ↑ Increase | +25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.50% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.50% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.50% | ↑ Increase | +25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 4.25% | ↑ Increase | +50 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 3.75% | ↑ Increase | +50 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 3.25% | ↑ Increase | +75 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 2.50% | ↑ Increase | +100 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 1.50% | ↑ Increase | +50 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 1.00% | ↑ Increase | +50 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 0.50% | ↑ Increase | +25 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 0.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 0.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ | |
| 0.25% | = Unchanged | 0 bp | Official release ↗ |
How to read the table: the rate is the target announced on that date; the change is measured against the previous decision. “Unchanged” means no adjustment. One basis point (bp) is 0.01 percentage point: +25 bp means +0.25 percentage point. Since 2021, changes take effect the day after the announcement. The dates shown are announcement dates. Both the chart and table show the overnight rate target, not the Bank Rate or a lender’s prime rate.
Upcoming decisions: what we can say.
As of October 26, 2026, the two remaining scheduled announcements are October 28 and December 9, 2026, at 9:45 a.m. Eastern. Neither outcome has been announced.
Outlook as of October 26, 2026 · No decision yet
October 28: a hike expected, not confirmed.
Reuters’ October 23 poll: 19 of 34 economists expect a 0.25-percentage-point increase to 2.50% on October 28. Read the poll
This is an economist expectation, not a Bank announcement or a certain probability. A polling majority does not guarantee an outcome.
December 9: a confirmed date, an open decision.
No direction is assigned to that announcement here. The October decision, the new Monetary Policy Report and data released afterward need to be assessed first.
Our perspective: prepare your budget without making a bet.
Expectations can change. Inflation, employment, economic activity and the Bank’s communications will help explain what comes next. For your mortgage, compare how your budget would handle rising, falling or unchanged rates instead of making the next announcement the sole basis of your choice.
Bank of Canada — 2026 announcement calendar · Latest verified decision
What does this mean for your mortgage?
A variable rate
It is generally linked to your lender’s prime rate, which is influenced by the policy rate. The effect on payments depends on your contract: they may change, or stay fixed while the split between interest and principal changes. Contractual limits may also apply.
A fixed rate
Your contracted rate normally stays the same during the term. New fixed-rate offers depend partly on bond yields and lenders’ funding costs. They can change ahead of an announcement and do not automatically follow the policy rate.
Bank of Canada — Your mortgage rate and how it’s set · Variable rates with fixed payments
A Bank decision alone does not determine the best mortgage for you. Your budget, timeline, penalties and contract flexibility matter too.
Sources and verification
Every history row links to the Bank of Canada’s original release. Economist expectations come from a separate, dated source that is clearly identified.
- Policy rate: recent data and calendar
- Official 2026 announcement schedule
- Understanding the policy interest rate
- What influences a mortgage rate
- Reuters — October 23, 2026
Verified October 26, 2026. This page is a documented snapshot, not a real-time rate feed. For information only; no future decision or mortgage offer is guaranteed. This independent guide is not a Bank of Canada publication.
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